Created at 6pm, Feb 4
CadnDataCrypto
0
Cryptocurrencies and Blockchain
ym4rH6HRSUR12dS27diBonwwNTQOl9ta3NJ7jE8fFTA
File Type
PDF
Entry Count
511
Embed. Model
jina_embeddings_v2_base_en
Index Type
hnsw

With growth in Europe and Central Asia having peaked at 2.7 percent in 2017, policy makers face new challenges. How can they navigate the expected cyclical downturn? How canthey boost underlying potential growth that has slowed, especially since the global financial crisis? How should they adjust regulations and reform policies to benefit from the digital revolution while mitigating the transition costs? This report summarizes the economicoutlook for the region and examines the adoption of new blockchain technologies. In doingso, it touches on all three challenges.The 2017 rates of growth of GDP (2.7 percent) and private consumption (2.5 percent)were faster than at any time since the global financial crisis of a decade ago. Growth wasespecially strong in Central Europe and in Turkey, but it was robust in other parts of theregion as well. Unemployment rates are now close to their 2007 levels in most countries,and average inflation exceeds 2 percent, indicating that little spare capacity is left.Deceleration of growth is expected to be modest, but a sharper correction remains possible. Cyclical forces can easily reinforce one another, and additional shocks—rising protectionism, geopolitical tensions, larger than expected disruptions caused by Brexit—couldmaterialize. There is little room for further monetary stimulus if the expected slowdown issharper than expected. The region has rebuilt some fiscal buffers, however. The averagefiscal deficit in 2017 is estimated at just above 1 percent of GDP, down from 6 percent during the 2009 crisis and close to levels at the end of the boom that preceded that crisis. Fiscalstimulus is thus an option in several countries in case of a sharper than expected slowdown. Under the baseline scenario of only a modest deceleration, however, a furtherbuildup of fiscal buffers seems the best strategy.Many countries in the region have proven to be fertile ground for the development ofcryptocurrencies and blockchain technologies. The emergence of these technologies is partof a broader wave of technologies that facilitate peer-to-peer (P2P) commerce, the individualization of products, and the flexibilization of production methods.For a variety of reasons, these trends gained traction after the global financial crisis adecade ago. Blockchain technologies aim to organize P2P transactions and P2P information flows without intermediaries and central banks have opportunities to use blockchaintechnologies to improve their services.It is unclear how these technologies will develop in the long run; their ultimate impactmay be very different from the current applications. In response, policy makers shouldstrike a balance between curbing the hype surrounding these new technologies and unleashing potentially transformational new opportunities. While encouraging and facilitating these innovations, they should prepare to craft new regulations to create a level playingfield for new and old industries, by adjusting financial oversight, consumer protection,and tax administration. They should also address the massive volume of electricity usedto mine cryptocurrencies.

26 billion, or 6.9 percent of GDP. Pressures were partially eased by the disbursement of the two tranches of the EFSD loan (totaling US$600 million), disbursement of a bilateral loan from Russia (US$700 million), and the issuance of EurobondsUS$1.4 billion in 2017, and US$0.6 billion in February 2018. Exports recovered, helping to bring down the current account deficit to 1.1 percent of GDP in January-November 2017 (vs 3.2 percent a year ago), yet driven by the primary income deficit of 4 percent of GDP. Real wage increases have stopped the deterioration of household incomes. In 2017, real wages and disposable incomes grew by 6.2 and 2.4 percent respectively, benefiting from lower inflation. Disposable incomes growth was the highest in Minsk, but also in regions with higher absolute poverty rates, such as Brest and Gomel. The hires-to-terminations ratio throughout 2017 exceeded
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The share of households below the official poverty threshold remained stable throughout the first three quarters of 2017.
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Improved household consumption and investment activity, along with gradual increase in exports, will help FIGURE 1 Belarus / Real GDP growth and contributions to real GDP growth FIGURE 2 Belarus / Actual and projected poverty rates and real GDP per capita Percentage points 15 Poverty rate (%) 60 GDP per capita (constant LCU) 2500000 10 5 50 2000000 0 40 1500000 5 30 10 1000000 15 20 Q1/14 Q3/14 Q1/15 Q3/15 Q1/16 Q3/16 Q1/17 Q3/17 Total consumption of goods and services Gross capital formation Exports of goods and services Imports of goods and services Statistical discrepancy GDP growth 10 0 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Upper middle-income pov. rate GDP pc 500000 0 Sources: World Bank Staff Calculations based on Belstat data. Sources: World Bank. Notes: see Table 2. MPO 46 Apr 18 60
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World Bank ECA Economic Update May 2018 the economy to grow. At the same time, persisting domestic structural bottlenecks related to unaddressed legacy issues of misallocation of capital and low export diversification will continue to constrain the growth potential. Weak foundations for a sustainable growth recovery imply that income per capita gaps between Belarus and its neighbors may widen as the economies of the Baltic States and Poland are projected to grow on average above 3 percent per annum. At the same time, modest growth would ease balance-ofpayment pressures, allowing to maintain a current account deficit between 2 and 3percent of GDP over the next three years. Risks and challenges Downside risks from external factors are coming from two sources. First, although the headline current account deficits have narrowed down, a public debt to GDP ratio
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How to Retrieve?
# Search

curl -X POST "https://search.dria.co/hnsw/search" \
-H "x-api-key: <YOUR_API_KEY>" \
-H "Content-Type: application/json" \
-d '{"rerank": true, "top_n": 10, "contract_id": "ym4rH6HRSUR12dS27diBonwwNTQOl9ta3NJ7jE8fFTA", "query": "What is alexanDRIA library?"}'
        
# Query

curl -X POST "https://search.dria.co/hnsw/query" \
-H "x-api-key: <YOUR_API_KEY>" \
-H "Content-Type: application/json" \
-d '{"vector": [0.123, 0.5236], "top_n": 10, "contract_id": "ym4rH6HRSUR12dS27diBonwwNTQOl9ta3NJ7jE8fFTA", "level": 2}'